howtodowtle/mprog

howtodowtle/mprog:

-7823 due

or pay $5

Anki maintained progress. Needs desktop version. RR to 44 days when access to Desktop version.

Green: bmndr.com/howtodowtle/mprog is safe for ~4283 days

This goal gets its data automatically from the API.

DAY	DELTA	VALUE
Today	✔	9075
Tomorrow	✔	9075
Thu (11th)	✔	9075
Fri (12th)	✔	9075
Sat (13th)	✔	9075
Sun (14th)	✔	9075
Mon (15th)	✔	9075

Datapoints ?

Your actual reported data. The color shows where you are with respect to your bright red line:

Green:
> 3 days of buffer

Blue:
~ 2 days of buffer

Orange:
~ 1 day of buffer

Red:
crossed the red line
Bright Red Line ?

Keep your dots on the good side of this bright red line!
Colored guiding lines ?

The orange line shows one day of safety buffer. The blue line is two days, and the green line demarcates seven days of safety buffer.

(If you keep your safety buffer at 7 days or higher then you're immune to being stung. If anything comes up, just flatten your bright red line. It will take effect after the 7-day akrasia horizon but since you have that much safety buffer, you're golden!)
Yellow guide lines ?

These thin yellow lines indicate the good side of the bright red line.
Akrasia horizon ?

This line is a week away from now. You can only make changes in the steepness of your red line beyond the akrasia horizon.
Pink zone ?

This shaded pink zone on the wrong side of your bright line shows the bare minimum that you are committed to doing this week. Your red line can never get easier and dip into this forbidden zone.
Infinitely safe region ?

This light yellow shaded region shows the infinitely safe area. If your datapoints are in this zone, then you have exceeded the final total of your graph, and your safety buffer is unbounded. You usually see this as your goal approaches the end date, or if you have an infinitely flat bright red line for some reason.
Skull & Crossbones ?

We fly the Jolly Roger on your graph if it freezes. The primary way this happens is if you derail when your graph is scheduled to be archived.
Watermarks ?

The watermarks in the corner regions of your graph (shown darker here) indicate your current pledge amount and how much safety buffer you have. How safe you are is shown on the good side of the red line, and the amount pledged is shown on the derails-this-way side.
Optimistic projection (deprecated) ?

An optimistic view of progress, i.e., a view of your data through rose-colored glasses. It shows your inexorable march towards your goal. If you're bouncing around it just shows you flat. When you go down (or whichever direction your goal is), it shows you that right away.

It never shows you going up (or whatever the wrong direction is) unless it's sure you've screwed up.

If you find the random fluctuation unnerving, you can focus on the pink dots day-to-day.
Moving average ?

This is a moving average implemented as an IIR filter. If most of your daily numbers are below this trend line then you are inexorably dragging it down.

For the case of weight loss, this was inspired by The Hacker's Diet as a way to see the forest through the trees, to see past the daily random fluctuations to what your weight is really doing.
Smoothed trend swath ?

Think of this as a very thick line charting your progress or an aura around your actual data. It's like the moving average line but fatter and smoother, and it extends past your actual data as a kind of projection into the future, in case that's useful. (Gory details on the blog.)

Features not enabled on this graph:

Max flux ?

This thicker yellow line denotes the user-specified maximum daily fluctuation, shown as an offset from the bright red line. Details in the FAQ.
Standard flux ?

This dashed yellow line indicates a so-called 90% variance derived from your data, shown as an offset from the bright red line. Details in the FAQ.

This goal has the following fine print specified by howtodowtle:

#auto dialMin=4
#auto dialMax=20.57142857
#autodial Times=1.04

Maintained progress as measured by this add-on: https://ankiweb.net/shared/info/1730491641

2023-12-06: Switched to FSRS scheduling and currently disabling the add-on until I understand the effects on the "cards maintained" metric.
2023-12-15: Switch to FSRS done. Did a loooot of reviews (10–100 times the normal daily amount) the last week, and now it feels safe to enable the plugin again without having any unwanted effects.
2023-12-15: Wooow, rescheduling using FSRS still seems a bit unpredictable... :o (I believe it's good for learning, but it's hard to predict how the "cards maintained" metric will work.) Maybe I'll need to go back to an "input-counting" metric (time/cards) again...
2024-03-01: Beeminder forum helped to understand and find the bug in the metric (how/why I would get a lower rotestock/progress score after studying more).
2024-03-06: Switched to the hotfix add-on, and FSRS is predictable now.

Amounts Due By Day

Goal Progress

Stats

Graph stats

Data stats

Graph Legend